Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 34

Severe Weather near Jacksonville

MorganUnited StatesNOAA

This alert expired on 5 July 2026 at 03:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

No stronger detection stands among the 58 recorded within 20 km of this point since 15 March 2026 — 4 others scored the same. The last comparable one was on 22 June 2026. 2 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Flood Warning issued July 3 at 10:12AM CDT until July 5 at 7:00PM CDT by NWS St Louis MO

An estimated 19,103 people live within 50 km of this point.

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 34 out of 100, at 80 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)34 / 100
Our confidence80%
Coordinates39.8587, -90.4401
Nearest CityJacksonville (23 km)
Population Exposed19.1K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-03T15:12:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Flood Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5709a54bdc90199c6cf9ae25e9359663

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
40
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventFlood Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescCalhoun, IL; Greene, IL; Jersey, IL; Morgan, IL; Pike, IL; Brown, IL and 3 more areas
HeadlineFlood Warning issued July 3 at 10:12AM CDT until July 5 at 7:00PM CDT by NWS St Louis MO
Expires2026-07-04T22:15:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS St Louis MO
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount6
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5709a54bdc90199c6cf9ae25e9359663f23dba09.003.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5709a54bdc90199c6cf9ae25e9359663f23dba09.004.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5709a54bdc90199c6cf9ae25e9359663f23dba09.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f4217ecc196225dc2424ca95c443f585acac4f13.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.5709a54bdc90199c6cf9ae25e9359663f23dba09.002.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.f4217ecc196225dc2424ca95c443f585acac4f13.001.1"]

Safety Information

During flooding: never walk, swim, or drive through floodwaters. Six inches of moving water can knock you down, and one foot of water can sweep away a vehicle. Move to higher ground if waters rise. After flooding, avoid contact with floodwater which may contain sewage, chemicals, or debris. Follow local emergency service guidance.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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Calamity.live data shows a weather event with CalamityScore 34/100, near Jacksonville (United States), based on data from noaa. Source: Calamity.live, a platform aggregating real-time data from 185 scientific monitoring sources.